About

This site collects my investment notes, portfolio updates, and research commentary. It exists primarily as a personal record, a way to force myself to think clearly by writing things down.

Nothing here is financial advice. I am not a professional investor or financial advisor. These are personal notes shared publicly for transparency and accountability.

FAQ

What's the strategy?

Single-instrument: XAUUSD (gold). All decisions are manual, with chart-driven setups around momentum and trend regimes. The ECB rate sits as the implicit benchmark. If I can't clear the risk-free rate over a meaningful window, the exercise is dead weight.

Is this discretionary or systematic?

As of today: fully discretionary. The numbers on the homepage reflect manual decisions. I run a separate algo book that isn't yet at a point where I'd publish its returns. When it is, I'll either fold it into this record with a breakdown, or split it onto its own page.

Why start tracking only in October 2025?

I've been trading for about three years, but never kept a formal, public record. Private notes don't compound into accountability. October 2025 is when I decided to treat the track record as the product. Nothing before that exists in a form I'd publish.

Why publish monthly numbers?

The internet is full of trading content where screenshots show absolute numbers and most discussion stops at the backtest. Publishing the live number every month, unfiltered, is a different commitment. If a month is bad, the number is bad.

Unreported performance is indistinguishable from no performance.

What does a bad month look like here?

A red number, in the list, with the same prominence as a green one. No reframing in the headline figure. If the methodology changes after a drawdown, the change is dated and explained, but the historical numbers don't move.

What changed in how I build because of this?

And it forces a monthly sit-down. Without that, I'd let the numbers blur into "going fine."


Lucas Guerin
lucasguerin.fr